How Sure are You?

Another interesting article by Plane Dave.
Check out the comments section also.

Plane Dave

The Value of a Claim and Combat Intelligence

In a swirling, twisting dogfight a highly trained but inexperienced fighter pilot gets his first shot at an enemy aircraft.  He fires, and after seeing a burst of smoke the unfortunate target snaps out of control and plummets towards the Earth.

The excited pilot gets home and reports his success.  How sure should we be things happened like the pilot saw?  How sure are we he destroyed the target he just claimed?

Join me for brief look at accuracy and reliability of claims during World War II.

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